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Chris B commented on Hope's group Imagine No Organized Religion or at least a Religion without Scump
"Everyone picks out the tenets that fit his/her character, traumas, frustrations, etc. I know…"
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Stephen commented on Adriana's group Freethought and Funny Bones
"Election 2020: Pie's prediction."
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Tom Sarbeck commented on Hope's group Imagine No Organized Religion or at least a Religion without Scump
"Xianity did stuff very much like this when it was a majoority religion."
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"Mentally deranged comes to mind."
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Loren Miller commented on Loren Miller's group Quote Of The Day
"Sadly, Onyango, "banish[ing] all these vain and superstitious offices of priests and…"
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Onyango Makagutu commented on Loren Miller's group Quote Of The Day
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Chris B commented on Sydni Moser's group Coffee Break without any Mention of that Idiot
"Thanks, Ian, I hope you find as much happiness. Public transport is no fun at all, and risky,…"
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Loren Miller commented on Loren Miller's group Quote Of The Day
"Say what you will about the sweet miracle of unquestioning faith, I consider a capacity for it…"
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Our Climate, Scumpism is Denialism

Where we share information on climatology and the changing Earth's climate.With of course a special…See More
yesterday
Ian Mason commented on Sydni Moser's group Coffee Break without any Mention of that Idiot
"Chris, that you and Luca are growing closer is a ray of sunshine in gloomy times. Dk has introduced…"
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Chris B commented on Sydni Moser's group Coffee Break without any Mention of that Idiot
"How are you all managing under Covid threat?"
yesterday
Chris B commented on Sydni Moser's group Coffee Break without any Mention of that Idiot
"Still no full lockdown here, Joan. Regular health care is at a quarter of its capacity, waiting…"
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Ruth Anthony-Gardner added a discussion to the group Our Climate, Scumpism is Denialism
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Arctic Worries

You may remember that Arctic Sea Ice was dramatically declining until the record low of 2012. The…See More
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Joan Denoo commented on Sydni Moser's group Coffee Break without any Mention of that Idiot
"Chris B, Wonderful cartoon of a wolf and some sheep. Right on! I know listening to the talk…"
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Joan Denoo commented on Sydni Moser's group Coffee Break without any Mention of that Idiot
"Chris B, I follow the virus numbers for The Netherlands and I am sure the citizens are ready for a…"
yesterday
Mrs.B commented on Loren Miller's group Quote Of The Day
"That power needs cutting."
yesterday
Mrs.B commented on Sydni Moser's group Coffee Break without any Mention of that Idiot
"We watched PBS last night too, Randy. Sounds positive for hopefully removing some carbon, as long…"
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Davy commented on Doone's group Humans of Earth and a Cheat, a Liar, a Fraud, a Bully, a Racist, a Predator, a Con man who is a useful Russian Idiot aka a Man with No Money Named Scump News
"As they say there is only one poll that counts all the others mean nothing."
yesterday

We are a worldwide social network of freethinkers, atheists, agnostics and secular humanists.

From the beginning of the pandemic, we were told that one infected person spread the disease to 2 others on average, called its R0. New data says the reproductive number for COVID is 4.5. "... a global average of about 4.5 new cases per infected individual,..." 

COVID-19 was twice as contagious as experts thought when pandemic s...

This means it will be far more difficult to terminate the pandemic than we imagined.

Views: 34

Replies to This Discussion

I like the discussion & seek clarity. This works for me: 

The reproductive number (R#) indicated how contagious is a disease. 

RO pronounced ”R naught” = not contagious

Each infected individual infects an average of two others = R2

Each infected individual infects an average of 4 or 5 others = R4 or R5.

”during the early months of the COVID pandemic, the average number of new infections caused by an infected individual (i.e. the basic reproduction number, R0) was 4.5, or more than twice as many as the initial 2.2 rate estimated by the World Health Organization at the time.”

”The time to reduce the R0 to below 1.1 infections is immediately.

~ Gabriel G. Katul, Assaad Mrad, Sara Bonetti, Gabriele Manoli, and Anthony J. Parolari; (Sept. 24, 2020. Duke University, DURHAM, N.C.  Window for Slowing COVID’s Spread was Smaller than Projected. “Global Convergence of COVID-19 Basic Reproduction Number and Estimation from Early-Time SIR Dynamics,” PLOSOne. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0239800

https://nicholas.duke.edu/news/window-slowing-covids-spread-was-sma...

Note: Gabriel Katul is available for additional comment at gaby@duke.edu.

Chris B I agree with your statement and think the next debate should have some rule.

1. Perhaps the moderator should be a debate champion. 

2. Only one mike should be hot, the other one silenced. 

3. Having each debater in a separate enclosure may make it easier for Biden to stay focused on the topic. 

4. The moderator has to be stricter and insist on compliance or end the "debate."

5. 

6. 

That would help a lot, I think. If t was made to follow the rules instead of yelling... but I see no way to deal with a person like that.

Debate Commission introduces new tools so that the moderator can manage Trump. / Giant gong to indicate each bald-faced lie / Extra gonger for when the first one breaks / Tranquilizer darts / Heavy weather gear for s**t storms / Cleaning supplies to keep it from staining

(click to embiggen)

Equipment for the debate includes "gongs, tranquilizer darts, heavy weather gear for s**t storms, and cleaning supplies." Build two soundproof cubicles with a lock on each door, and a mic controlled by a time-keeper in each room. The keeper-of-time must be a non-partisan who will be checked by monitors from each party. A sergeant at arms enforces the rules, preserves order, and sets penalties.

The moderator defines the debate process and civility of both/all parties and imposes penalties. The timer abides by the clock.

Rules for the debate

1. Round 1. The first speaker for the affirmative side sitting next to the chairperson begins. Then, the first speaker for the negative side responds.

2. Round 2. When the last speaker for the negative side has spoken, the second round of the debate begins, this time in reverse order.

3. Each speaker has a maximum time agreed to by the debaters.

4. Interrupting a speaker is forbidden.

5. The audience does not participate in the debate.

Gregg Gonsalves explains much of what we're seeing in the resurgence.

 "In Europe, countries that were successful in beating back the first wave of Covid-19 are seeing the virus roar back ... most of these countries didn’t use the summer wisely to scale up testing and contact tracing, ensure humane isolation and quarantine (e.g., paid isolation “leave”), institute mandatory mask-wearing, and retro-fit ventilation in places like schools. The countries that did, such as Germany and in Asia-Pacific—New Zealand, South Korea, and China—are thus far managing this next phase of the pandemic far better than the rest of us." 

We’re Never Going Back to Normal

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